Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004299 0.004526 0.004758 0.005015 0.005290 0.005578 0.005901
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003859 0.004191 0.004546 0.004956 0.005417 0.005923 0.006522
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003582 0.003972 0.004401 0.004911 0.005504 0.006178 0.007006
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003358 0.003783 0.004262 0.004845 0.005542 0.006355 0.007387
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003252 0.003717 0.004251 0.004917 0.005732 0.006709 0.007986
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003125 0.003616 0.004189 0.004917 0.005827 0.006944 0.008443
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002997 0.003504 0.004106 0.004882 0.005871 0.007110 0.008814
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002859 0.003372 0.003990 0.004797 0.005843 0.007177 0.009051
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002742 0.003262 0.003893 0.004730 0.005831 0.007260 0.009309
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002668 0.003200 0.003855 0.004734 0.005908 0.007460 0.009734
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002527 0.003049 0.003695 0.004573 0.005757 0.007344 0.009703
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002469 0.003001 0.003667 0.004582 0.005834 0.007539 0.010127
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002455 0.003009 0.003712 0.004691 0.006054 0.007947 0.010891
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002376 0.002930 0.003639 0.004637 0.006045 0.008028 0.011170
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002306 0.002861 0.003578 0.004596 0.006050 0.008128 0.011480
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002234 0.002787 0.003506 0.004536 0.006024 0.008180 0.011715
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002213 0.002779 0.003523 0.004602 0.006182 0.008511 0.012416
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002169 0.002740 0.003495 0.004602 0.006243 0.008696 0.012888
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002116 0.002686 0.003447 0.004570 0.006253 0.008803 0.013233
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002051 0.002613 0.003369 0.004492 0.006190 0.008790 0.013373
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001994 0.002551 0.003304 0.004431 0.006150 0.008811 0.013570
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001961 0.002521 0.003283 0.004434 0.006208 0.008992 0.014059
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001880 0.002423 0.003163 0.004287 0.006026 0.008773 0.013816